Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.305326 1.609795 2.007485 2.583527 3.431241 4.697638 6.882554
2025-03-30 0.919051 1.246835 1.745446 2.624480 4.315352 7.989582 19.506234
2025-04-06 0.711800 1.019119 1.530590 2.554588 4.952914 12.232046 61.767913
2025-04-13 0.589332 0.875752 1.383902 2.504026 5.596008 18.702233 367.798413
2025-04-20 0.534572 0.826147 1.380463 2.744762 7.382058 40.899160 NaN
2025-04-27 0.484479 0.771104 1.345757 2.892727 9.240654 98.503578 NaN
2025-05-04 0.434802 0.705843 1.269344 2.886350 10.572278 240.701268 NaN
2025-05-11 0.388662 0.639050 1.172130 2.769146 11.209809 583.560303 NaN
2025-05-18 0.360829 0.603709 1.138034 2.839675 13.414101 12193.274617 NaN
2025-05-25 0.341135 0.581480 1.129346 2.998094 17.189477 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.317748 0.548029 1.085025 3.001674 19.835457 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.292739 0.507993 1.015958 2.873402 20.590814 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.280051 0.493600 1.013183 3.037983 27.500629 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.264365 0.470754 0.983238 3.069461 33.280377 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.247103 0.442466 0.932975 2.978707 36.003114 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.232488 0.418695 0.891637 2.915149 39.810600 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.227981 0.417483 0.915346 3.216076 67.232601 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.220877 0.409349 0.916833 3.402449 105.987684 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.210659 0.392752 0.889154 3.394392 134.675637 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.198908 0.371473 0.843559 3.246700 138.907135 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.192166 0.361749 0.833438 3.335497 213.974721 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.187543 0.356741 0.837772 3.535797 464.904596 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.180404 0.344856 0.817304 3.540336 740.940465 NaN NaN